The following is my answer to a Quora
question: “Do
you value cash flow or equity more?”
Cash flow is the net amount of cash an
entity receives and disburses during a specific period. For an entity to remain viable, it must
maintain positive cash flow. Equity is
simply the difference between the value of assets and the value of liabilities.
There is no comparison here, because these
terms describe different things, although they can correlate. A business may face negative cash flow during
a slump, while still holding good net equity because its underlying assets
retain value. This lets it borrow
against those assets to bridge the cash flow gap, though that borrowing itself
lowers equity further. Conversely, a
business may show strong cash flow while carrying negative equity, if the value
of its stock has fallen through a sell-off or aggressive capital return.
You cannot value one over the other,
because they measure different parts of the same business. Ideally, a business shows positive cash flow
and healthy equity. If either turns
negative, the business faces genuine strain.
A Real Company with Negative Equity
and Excellent Cash Flow
Domino’s Pizza has reported negative
shareholders’ equity in every annual report from 2006 through 2025. As of the quarter ended 30th June
2026, total shareholders’ equity stood at negative US$3.98 billion, against
total liabilities of US$5.746 billion and long-term debt of US$4.876
billion. This did not happen because
Domino’s loses money. The company earned
US$600 million in net income for fiscal year 2025. It happened because Domino’s distributes
nearly all of its free cash flow to shareholders, funded through a structure
called whole business securitisation, pledging its royalty streams,
intellectual property, and supply chain income as collateral for asset-backed
notes carrying a blended coupon of just 3.82 per cent.
The market has not treated this as
distress. S&P Global Ratings
assigned these securitised notes a BBB+, investment-grade rating, despite the
negative equity sitting on Domino’s own balance sheet. Berkshire Hathaway, run by Warren Edward
Buffett, increased its stake in Domino’s by 13 per cent in the third quarter of
2025. Buffett rarely adds to a position
without conviction, and his own team would have read the negative equity figure
before buying. They bought anyway,
because the measure that matters here, cash flow quality and predictability,
remained exceptional, while book equity, a figure distorted by a decade of
leveraged share buybacks, told them nothing useful about the underlying
business.
The Reverse Scenario Plays Out
Differently
The mirror case shows up constantly in
asset-heavy, cyclical industries. Hotel
and commercial property operators facing occupancy collapse, as much of the
sector did through 2020, can post negative operating cash flow for extended
periods while their underlying real estate continues to hold substantial book
value. That asset value becomes the
lender’s collateral. Operators across
the hospitality sector drew down secured credit facilities against this backing,
bridging the cash flow gap without immediately destroying the balance
sheet. The cost was the same one
described above, in reverse. Every
dollar borrowed against the asset increases liabilities, and increased
liabilities erode equity over time, even while the underlying property itself
has not lost a cent of value.
Equity tells you what a business is
theoretically worth if liquidated today, assets minus liabilities. Cash flow tells you whether the business can meet
its obligations this month, this quarter, this year. Domino’s own case proves a business can have
terrible headline equity and remain an excellent investment, because a rating
agency and Buffett both looked past the book value distortion to the cash
generation underneath it. A hospitality
operator borrowing against real estate during a demand collapse proves the
opposite pairing: strong equity alone does not pay staff wages or service
short-term debt if the cash simply is not coming in that quarter. Judge a business on whichever metric answers
the question you are asking – solvency and liquidation value, or ongoing
operating viability – because collapsing both into a single verdict only works
if you already know which problem you are trying to solve.
Terence Nunis | Executive Chairman, Equinox Zenith | Author, The 1% Playbook: The Billionaire Cheat Code

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