22 February, 2020

Quora Answer: How Much of a Chance Does Malaysia Have of Winning a War with Singapore?

The following is my answer to a Quora question: “How much of a chance does Malaysia have of winning a war with Singapore?

That would be close to zero, and that is why they are not agitating for it.  Singapore has a far larger military, with the latest technology.  More importantly, that technology is integrated.  Singapore has true combined arms doctrine, an extensive intelligence network, and a well-trained military with significant reserves.

More importantly, war is won by logistics, and economics.  Singapore has the wealth to conduct such a war, and the means to execute an invasion to create strategic depth before Malaysia has the chance to fully mobilise.

A significant disadvantage that Malaysia must deal with is the fact that half their military is in East Malaysia, guarding the borders with the Philippines and Indonesia.  In the event of a conflict, they do not have the sealift and airlift capability of bringing their best troops to the Malaysian Peninsula, and they do not have the air and naval superiority to secure safe passage, even if they could.



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