The following is my
answer to a Quora question: “Do you agree with David Lawrence
Ramsey III (Dave Ramsey) that bonds are not a good investment?”
I do not listen to David Lawrence Ramsey III, so I
cannot say I agree or disagree since I have no context. However, in principle, bonds are not a good
investment in and of themselves. There are two major kinds of bonds: treasury or
sovereign bonds, and other bonds. Treasury bonds are issued by central banks. They tend to be investment-grade, although
there are those that are not. Non-treasury
bonds include corporate papers, municipal bonds and other forms of repackaged
debt. Again, they may or may not be
investment grade.
Bonds are used in a portfolio to lower the risk
profile, as a wrapper, or to balance out a portfolio that is equity heavy. Particularly investment grade bonds, they are
low risk, guaranteed and predictable. The downside is that the safer the bond, the
lower the yield. In most cases, that
yield is far below the projected inflation over the period of investment. This means a portfolio of only bonds loses
money in real terms.
Higher yield bonds tend to be of greater risk, and
their default chances are exponentially higher. This is more akin to gambling than investment,
and have almost no real worth to conventional investment strategies. These bonds are termed “junk bonds” for a
reason.
This does not mean that bonds are not a good
investment. But an investment portfolio
of only bonds is unbalanced, and the risk is not commensurate with the potential
gain.
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