30 November, 2023

COP28 Warm-Up: Taking Sustainability to the Next Level — Three Conferences Later

On Tuesday, 31st October 2023, Red Sycamore, in collaboration with Think & Grow, held an exclusive panel discussion at the Mandala Club.  The panel title was “Taking Sustainability to the Next Level.”

Why the Panel was Convened

The carbon market is evolving rapidly.  Genuine contention persists over the direction the market should take, in line with the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and its various protocols and treaties.  The regulatory framework was, and remains, playing catch-up to realities on the ground.  This creates a considerable grey market of opportunity for startups.  The panel set out to explore these opportunities in depth, drawing on the panellists’ collective experience.  Fighting the climate crisis and generating a genuine return are not mutually exclusive.  This summary reflects the framing given by Ng Kin Foong, Chief Executive Officer of Red Sycamore.

The Panellists

De’Angelo Harris, Partner at Think & Grow, moderated.  Eric Tanoto, Chief Executive Officer of USP Group; Tali Goldman, Founder and Managing Director of Market for Good; and Terence Kenneth John Nunis, then President of Red Sycamore, joined the panel.

The Loss and Damage Fund, Then and Now

The Loss and Damage Fund was the defining financial promise to emerge from COP28, held weeks after this panel convened.  It was intended to compensate vulnerable countries for climate-driven disasters exceeding their own capacity to adapt.  COP28 closed with pledges totalling just over US$600 million.  The initial pledge was smaller than the cost of building the Dubai Expo City venue hosting the conference itself, a comparison that still stings.

COP29, held in Baku in November 2024, set a new global climate finance goal of US$300 billion annually by 2035, widely criticised as inadequate against developing countries’ own request for US$1.3 trillion.  The Loss and Damage Fund reached full operational status at that conference.  COP28’s own commitment to “transition away from fossil fuels” simply disappeared from COP29’s final text, a genuine reversal of the previous year’s hard-won language.

COP30, held in Belém, Brazil, in November 2025, called for mobilising at least US$1.3 trillion annually by 2035, and confirmed operationalisation and replenishment cycles for the Loss and Damage Fund itself.  Adaptation finance commitments were softened to “calling for efforts” to triple by 2035, five years later than earlier drafts had proposed.  More than eighty countries backed Brazil’s proposal for an explicit fossil fuel phase-out roadmap.  It did not survive the final hours of negotiation, and the adopted text still refers only to COP28’s own two-year-old language.

One Structural Win

Article 6’s rulebook, governing international carbon markets, was finalised at COP29.  The Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism became fully funded and operational at COP30, a full year later.  Carbon markets, the actual commercial mechanism behind blue carbon credits and every conversation this panel explored in 2023, are now credible, scalable infrastructure rather than a negotiating chapter still under construction.  Two years after this panel discussed a market playing catch-up to reality, reality has finally caught up to the market.

The grey market of opportunity this panel identified in October 2023 has, since then, been given genuine regulatory scaffolding, slowly, and only partially.  Finance pledges have grown from a sum smaller than a conference venue’s construction cost to a headline target of US$1.3 trillion a year.  Fossil fuel commitments have moved backwards, then failed to move forward again.  Carbon markets, the mechanism this panel’s own participants were building businesses around, are the one area where three years of negotiation have delivered something concrete.  The opportunity was real in 2023.  It remains real now, and considerably better funded than the sceptics in that room might have expected.


Terence Nunis | Executive Chairman, Equinox Zenith & Red Sycamore | Author, The 1% Playbook: The Billionaire Cheat Code




















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