It is possible for the portfolio of
an otherwise well-regarded entity to have, what is essentially, junk status. This only becomes apparent when there is a
collapse of the holding company, followed by massive write-downs in their asset
values. This does not happen often. Most institutional investors are savvy enough
to avoid such pitfalls, but even they may be taken in by hype, or greed.
One of the giveaway signs of such a
portfolio is when all the assets, by way of share ownership in the cash-generating
entities, were acquired by share swaps or asset switching. Asset switching is a ploy to conceal the real
value whilst being able to take out the cash flow from operations. When the cash flow is off book, the registered
asset value is not affected because, a switch in the asset in the form of a
company with cash flow is again parked in. However, in this later instance, the cash flow
belongs to someone else who can access it without accountability to the
principal, even if he is not the original owner of the cash flow.
Asset switching can be done if you
have control of the subsidiary company or own it outright. As they value the book value of the companies,
they use a legal instrument by way of a deed of trust or assignment to move the
title temporarily, in the view that they can then leverage it against bank
lines. It sounds complicated to the
uninitiated, but it is not.
One way to discern the true
financial health of the company is to look up the company board and key
executives. This is easier with listed
entities. But you then trace the
relationship between the starting company and related entities, seeing the same
group of related people on the boards of other companies or in key positions,
all with a business relationship. When I
say related here, I do not mean familial relations, but business relations. From there, we can track the equity lines.
Tracing these relationships to find
the equity lines requires quite a bit of detective work, but it allows us to
arrive at reasonable, and far more accurate values of the assets. We need to consider the way certain
companies’ annual dividends dwindle down to zero or some minuscule number. We will find an entity with cash flow with a
high burn rate where the spending is on another, sister company. They are robbing Peter to pay Paul.
This is how money is taken out of
the system into private hands. They
practise asset switching when it is convenient and asset leasing when security
is needed to shore up the hollowed shell of a once profitable entity.
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